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Yes, new games starting from patch 1.42 or perhaps 1.38, needs Origin to play. This includes EPs and SPs and any compilations released after this period, erm, I think Fall 2012 sometime? Just going off the top of my head, the timing may be a bit off...
I have no idea if the later packs (released after Fall 2012) are affected as well, even if one has the 2009 DVD version. Bypassing Launcher (and thus Origin) might work if you do have 2009 DVD version or the Deluxe DVD (base + Ambitions) version, since now all games work with TS3W.exe which is in the patched base game. But don't take my word for it, no one has ever confirm it to me...
You can tell if the disk needs Origin by the "Go Social" tagline somewhere on the cover, usually at the top (but I can't speak for those in anything else but English version as I don't know).
If you do want to hunt down a pre-loved 2009 DVD / Deluxe DVD or in some 2nd-hand shops, do please report back if Bypassing Launcher works for you, especially if you also have packs in Digital Download versions released after Fall 2012, and when you have patched to the current patch version (1.67 as of this writing).
So that I can put this to bed and update the
Game Help:TS3 Bypassing the Launcherwiki to help others after you...(yes we get this question a lot)